The Wildfire-Triggered Natech Exposure of Fuel Infrastructure at the Wildland-Urban/Industrial Interface in South Korea: Mapping and Scenario-Based Thermal Radiation Analysis

초록

Data on wildfires (burned area >= 100 ha) in South Korea were compiled for 2000-2025 and analyzed together with the national geospatial inventories of hazardous fuel facilities to characterize wildfire-triggered Natech exposure and potential consequence distances. In total, 47 large wildfire events were identified, burning approximately 139,800 ha, with all events occurring during the late winter-spring window (February-May). The spatial overlays of wildfire footprints with facility locations identified 805 gasoline/diesel stations and 227 LPG filling stations located within wildfire-affected districts, corresponding to 14.1% of gas stations and 11.5% of LPG stations in the nationwide facility dataset. Facility exposure was geographically clustered, with the highest concentrations occurring in the eastern and southeastern wildfire hotspots. To quantify potential technological impact extents under wildfire escalation, ALOHA simulations were conducted for a wildfire-induced BLEVE/fireball scenario involving a 10,000 L mobile tank with representative fuels (propane for LPG, n-octane for gasoline, and n-dodecane for diesel). The modeled thermal radiation threat zone radii (10, 5, and 2 kW & centerdot;m-2) were 228/322/502 m for propane, 250/353/550 m for n-octane, and 254/358/559 m for n-dodecane. Together, the event-based wildfire dataset, facility overlay results, and scenario-based impact distances provide an integrated, quantitative basis for assessing wildfire-triggered Natech conditions at the wildland-urban/industrial interface in South Korea.

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