일급수량 예측을 위한 인공지능모형 구축

초록

It is very important to forecast water supply for reasonal operation and management of water utilities. In this paper, water supply forecasting models using artificial intelligence are developed. Artificial intelligence models shows better results by using Temperature(t), water supply discharge(t-1) and water supply discharge(t-2), which are expressed by neural network(LMNNWS ; Levenberg-Marquardt Neural Network for Water Supply, MDNNWS ; MoDular Neural Network for Water Supply) and neuro fuzzy(ANFISWS ; Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference Systems for Water Supply). ANFISWS model which is applied for water supply forecasting shows stable application to the variable water supply data. As results, MDNNWS model shows the highest overall accuracy among proposed water supply forecasting models and the lowest estimation error with the order of ANFISWS, LMNNWS model.

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