Modelling the Probability of Japanese Red Pine Mortality After a Forest Fire in Korea

초록

We investigated Japanese red pine (Pinus densiflora Siebold et Zuecarmi) mortality that resulted from a 17,097 ha forest fine that occurred in eastern Korea in April of 2000. We developed a logistic regression model that relates the probability of tree mortality to diameter at breast height (DBH) and height of stem blackening (HSB) and found the probability of tree mortality increased as the HSB increased and DBH decreased. We compare those results with stem mortality models developed for Scots pine (Pinus sylvestrus L.) in Sweden and Eastern white pine (Pinus strobes, L.) in Canada and discuss the need for methodologies that can be used to develop compatable models.

키워드