VAR 모형을 이용한 MBS의 조기상환에 영향을 미치는 요인

Impact Factors on Prepayment Risk in MBS Using Vector Auto-Regressive Model

초록

This research aims to identify and analyze factors impacting on the prepayment risk involved in MBS(Mortgage-Backed Security). To do so, Some independent variables likely to affect prepayment in MBS and 143-month time series MBS(issued by the Korea Housing Finance Corporation) data from January 2006 to November 2017 are selected and applied to a VAR(Vector Auto-Regression) model using Eviews program. Finally, the results drawn from this study is that new loan interest rate, apartment price, and unemployment rate have significant statistical impact on prepayment risk.

키워드

AR(Vector Auto-Regressive) Model; MBS; Prepayment Risk; New Loan Interest Rate; Apartment Price; Unemployment Rate
제목
VAR 모형을 이용한 MBS의 조기상환에 영향을 미치는 요인
제목 (타언어)
Impact Factors on Prepayment Risk in MBS Using Vector Auto-Regressive Model
저자
조명환; 전재범
DOI
10.54091/krepa.2021.22.2.3
발행일
2021-09
유형
Y
저널명
부동산정책연구
권
22
호
2
페이지
45 ~ 61