난민 수용 태도와 난민 심사 강화 선호의 결정 요인 비교 분석

초록

Do refugee acceptance attitudes and preferences for screening institutions align? Using the 2025 Korean Refugee Attitudes Survey (N=1,002), we estimate binary logistic regression models with an identical set of covariates for two attitudinal dimensions, negative acceptance attitudes and preferences for stricter refugee status determination, and directly test cross-model differences in average marginal effects with a respondent-level bootstrap. Crime threat perception, ethnic national identity, refugee salience, and factual knowledge are more strongly associated with acceptance rejection. Fiscal burden threat and authoritarian disposition are significant only for stricter screening preferences and political ideology is significant in both dimensions, but these cross-model differences are not statistically distinguishable. Respondents who favor acceptance while demanding stricter screening endorse additional selection criteria more strongly than other acceptance supporters, lending partial support to a conditional acceptance interpretation. The findings caution against reducing refugee attitudes to a single pro-con axis and call for differentiated policy communication.

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